Rio Olympics 1 year ago

Rio 2016: Swimming event-by-event predictions - Men

  • Rio 2016: Swimming event-by-event predictions - Men

Swimming is always one of the most highly anticipated of all Olympic sports, and Rio 2016 is no exception. This year marks the end of a 12-year-long rivalry between Michael Phelps and Ryan Lochte, and the success of up-and-comers. Let's take a look at some of the expert picks.

200 METER FREESTYLE – Day 3, Aug 8

Great Britain’s James Guy was the surprise gold medallist at the World Championships last year. He and China’s Sun Yang are the favorites. No one is close to approaching Frenchman Yannick Agnel’s 1:43.00, which won him the gold in London. Paul Biedermann from Germany is the world record holder but he's never won an Olympic medal.

Word has it…

You might also like

Experts aren't expecting Guy or Agnel to break any records, but they think Conor Dwyer will better his own time.

Predictions 

Gold: James Guy, Great Britain 

Silver: Sun Yang, China 

Bronze: Conor Dwyer, USA

100 METER FREESTYLE – Day 5, Aug 10

Cameron McEvoy looks like the man to beat after a stunning 47.04 at Australia's Olympic Trials in April, second fastest all-time behind Brazilian Cesar Cielo’s world record of 46.91. Nathan Adrian won gold in London, so he’s one to watch too, along with Ning Zetao (China) and Florent Manaudou (France).

Word has it…

Competition is so fierce, it may take a time less than 48 seconds to make the final.

Predictions 

Gold: Cameron McEvoy, Australia 

Silver: Nathan Adrian, USA

Bronze: Ning Zetao, China 

   

50 METER FREESTYLE – Day 7, Aug 12

Florent Manaudou shocked the world when he won gold four years ago. But he proved himself by touching ahead of Nathan Adrian who has the world’s third fastest time. Cameron McEvoy and Anthony Ervin could turn things upside down.

Word has it…

Can the gold medalist in the 100 free on Day 5 keep the momentum going for the 50 on Day 7?

Predictions 

Gold: Nathan Adrian, USA

Silver: Florent Manaudou, France

Bronze: Cameron McEvoy, Australia 

100 METER BACKSTROKE – Day 3, Aug 8

Two young backstrokers have charged to the top of the world rankings (USA’s Ryan Murphy and Australia’s Mitch Larkin). Camille Lacourt of France was successful at last year World Championships, but will have to fight hard. Murphy and David Plummer were good enough to knock current Olympic Record holder Matt Grevers off Team USA – which is such a pity.

Word has it…

Someone will finally break Aaron Peirsol’s world record from 2009. 

Predictions 

Gold: Ryan Murphy, USA

Silver: Mitch Larkin, Australia 

Bronze: David Plummer, USA

200 METER BACKSTROKE – Day 6, Aug 11

Again, Ryan Murphy and Mitch Larkin are the ones to beat, but Ryosuke Irie is a veteran who could still pull through. Sadly, former champion Ryan Lochte isn't a medal favorite but he'll easily still be a crowd favorite.

Word has it…

With five men already finishing 1:54 or faster, even the eighth-place time will be very fast.

Predictions 

Gold: Mitch Larkin, Australia 

Silver: Ryan Murphy, USA

Bronze: Xu Jiayu, China

100 METER BREASTSTROKE  – Day 2, Aug 7

It's all about Great Britain’s Adam Peaty. He took down South Africa’s Olympic gold medalist Cameron van der Burgh in Kazan last year. His closest competitors are fellow Brit Ross Murdoch and USA’s Kevin Cordes.

Word has it…

No American has won a major international medal in this event since 2001.

Predictions 

Gold: Adam Peaty, Great Britain 

Silver: Cameron van der Burgh, South Africa 

Bronze: Kevin Cordes, USA

200 METER BREASTSTROKE – Day 5, Aug 10

There are several contenders here, the strongest being American newbie Josh Prenot. Now holding the American record and second-fastest time in history, he’ll almost certainly win the gold. But he’ll have to fight off world champion Marco Koch of Germany, plus fellow American Kevin Cordes and Great Britain’s Andrew Willis.

Word has it…

That multiple swimmers could crack the 2:07 barrier.

Predictions

Gold: Josh Prenot, USA

Silver: Marco Koch, Germany

Bronze: Kevin Cordes, USA

200 METER BUTTERFLY – Day 4, Aug 9

South Africa’s Chad le Clos isn’t far behind Laszlo Cseh who has this year’s top time. Yet, Michael Phelps holds all records for this event. Even though he struggled in the final 50 at U.S. Trials, analysts expect him to come from behind and take the win.

Word has it…

Le Clos and Phelps have been bantering back and forth since the latter lost to the former four years ago. Will this finally put an end to it?

Predictions

Gold: Michael Phelps, USA

Silver: Laszlo Cseh, Hungary

Bronze: Chad le Clos, South Africa

   

100 METER BUTTERFLY – Day 7, Aug 12

This marks the second attempt for USA’s Michael Phelps to win his fourth straight gold in the same event. He’s already the World, Olympic and American record holder. His biggest competition lies in Hungary’s Laszlo Cseh, Singapore’s Joseph Schooling and South Africa’s Chad le Clos. USA’s Tom Shields could surprise everyone – he’s 3rd in the FINA World Rankings.

Word has it…

American Ian Crocker’s 50.40 hasn’t been bettered without the use of high-tech bodysuits. Will this change?

Predictions 

Gold: Michael Phelps, USA

Silver: Chad le Clos, South Africa

Bronze: Tom Shields, USA

200 INDIVIDUAL MEDLEY – Day 6, Aug 11

With all the hype surrounding this final race between Michael Phelps and Ryan Lochte, they’d better watch out for Japan’s Kosuke Hagino. Lochte has held the World and American record since 2011, and one can’t help but hope he’ll still have it. For his sake. 

Word has it…

All three favorites share the same weak stroke: breastroke. It’s fair game.

Predictions:

Gold: Michael Phelps, USA

Silver: Ryan Lochte, USA

Bronze: Kosuke Hagino, Japan

   

4 x 100 METER FREESTYLE RELAY – Day 2, Aug 7

Hard to believe, but the Americans and Australians missed the final at Worlds last year. France is the team to beat with Florent Manaudou, Jeremy Stravius and Clement Mignon ranked among the top seven in the world. Nathan Adrian (ranked #2) will carry the Americans, while Cameron McEvoy (ranked #1) does the same for Australia.

Word has it…

There’s room for another country to sneak into the top three. Italy and Canada are possibilities.

Predictions

Gold: France

Silver: Australia

Bronze: USA

4 x 200 METER FREESTYLE RELAY – Day 4, Aug 9

Ryan Lochte, Michael Phelps and Conor Dwyer make up three of four spots on the American team, so they’re looking like solid contenders to the top-ranked Great Britain. James Guy, Cameron McEvoy and Jeremy Stravius are strong anchors for Great Britain, Australia and France.

Word has it…

Will coaches decide to put Phelps in the relay, which takes place just one hour after his 200 fly final? Times posted at Trials show the team should be ok without him.

Predictions

Gold: USA

Silver: Great Britain

Bronze: Australia

4 x 100 METER MEDLEY RELAY – Day 9, Aug 13

It will be yet another duel between powerhouses USA and Australia. Within the race may be some sweet potential rematches between Mitch Larkin and Ryan Murphy (or David Plummer) on the backstroke leg, and Cameron McEvoy and Nathan Adrian on freestyle. Michael Phelps is on butterfly and this could be his last international race. 

Word has it…

Great Britain may have improved on their back half of the relay team after leading yet fading to fourth at Worlds.

Predictions

Gold: USA

Silver: Australia

Bronze: Great Britain



The end of an era: Michael Phelps' and Ryan Lochte's rivalry to end soon

Baseball, surfing, skateboarding added to 2020 Olympics: What do the key figures think?


0 1
please wait...